Tour de France Predictions and Tips for 2025 — Whose Is the Victory this Year?

July 5 through 27 is when the Tour de France 2025 runs. Lille Métropole is going to be the venue for the Grand Départ, and Paris Champs-Élysées will conclude the final stage of the race.

Among the three Grand Tours (the other two being Giro d’Italia and the Vuelta a España), this elite multi-stage race of the cycling world is the oldest — it’ll turn 112 this year! The question is, who’s going to bag the yellow jersey?

Sports predictions incoming! But first…

🚴‍♀️ The Most Important 2025 Tour de France Information You Need to Know

184 cyclists grouped in 23 teams will ride to cover a total of 3,338.8 km this year — 159.2 km less than the last Tour.

Participating Teams:

23 teams will be part of this grand race spanning more than three weeks:

The Stages:

• 7 flat stages;
• 6 hilly stages;
• 6 mountain stages (5 summit finishes);
• 2 individual time trials;
• 2 rest days.

The Route:

Absolutely French this time!

The Classifications:

• General Classification: Yellow Jersey for the ultimate winner with the fastest accumulated time;
• Points Classification: Green Jersey for the one with the most points in stage finishes and intermediate sprints;
• Mountains Classification: Polka-Dot Jersey for the top climber: the King of the Mountains;
• Young Rider Classification: White Jersey for the leader in the General Classification under the age of 26;
• Team Classification: A jersey with its number in black on a yellow background for the best team in the competition based on combined time;
• Combativity Award: Goes to the most combative cyclist of the day (except in individual TTs);
• Super Combativity Award: Goes to the most aggressive cyclist of the entire race.

With these basics, you will be able to place better, more informed bets.

👉 Our 2025 Tour de France Picks and Predictions

The 2025 season should be yet another thrilling cycling tour through the toughest terrains. Top contenders are returning. New talent will rise. Think your favourite is going to win this year?

Our picks and predictions help you zero in on the cyclists to watch: stage specialists, sleeper picks, and, of course, those with the potential for overall wins. We also focus on possible upsets that could give the leaderboard a mighty shake.

➤ 2025 Tour de France Winner Odds

About the 14 top contenders riding this year:

• Tadej Pogačar: This Slovenian rider is our favourite and thus, tops the list. An all-rounder, he’s won this competition thrice — the 2020, 2021, and 2024 Tour de France. Pogačar’s a TT specialist with great climbing skills. He’s consistent across all terrains, and we believe he’s in his career best form for the upcoming Tour;
• Jonas Vingegaard: Winner of the 2022 and 2023 seasons of the Tour, Vingegaard is a formidable rival to Pogačar. We believe he, too, is in his top form. Vingegaard is built for the long grind, especially in the mountain stages, and is a solid threat to all those who eye the top spot this year;
• Remco Evenepoel: The Belgian made a smashing debut in the 2024 Tour de France, where he not only finished third overall but also clinched victory in the young rider classification. A two‑time Olympic champ, Evenepoel is regarded as one of his generation’s top TT specialists;
• João Almeida: Trailing Remco Evenepoel in the 2024 Tour de France, Almeida rides for UAE Team Emirates XRG. He combines great climbing skills with time‑trial merit, which makes him a strong contender for the top place in the 2025 edition;
• Carlos Rodríguez: A mountain specialist with immense climbing strength, Rodríguez has already proven his Tour mettle in 2023 when he clinched 14 stage wins, beating Pogačar and Vingegaard, but eventually finishing fifth overall. This Spanish cycling prodigy carries bold race instincts and is well-positioned for victory;
• Matteo Jorgenson: A professional cyclist from America, Jorgenson is a mountain specialist who has displayed remarkable growth in stage races such as the Tour de France. He’s never won it, but who knows, he might just surprise everyone this time;
• Primož Roglič: This Slovenian cyclist hasn’t competed ever since a series of crashes pulled him out of the Giro d’Italia in May 2025. Roglič’s return in the 2025 Tour gives Red Bull high hopes. He’s the Tour’s top wild-card this year. But, having been inactive for a while, he could be either a possible upset or all refreshed for a tough fight;
• Wout Van Aert: Here’s who everyone believes is the underdog of the Tour, but could be your best bet this year. Wout Van Aert from Belgium has snagged 9 Tour de France stage wins from 2019 to 2022, and even won the points classification in the 2022 edition. He’s dubbed “one of the most complete cyclists of his generation” and rightfully so;
• Adam Yates: A professional race cyclist from Great Britain, Adam Yates is a world-class climber with some serious Tour history. He stood fourth overall in the 2016 edition, prevailing in the young rider classification and becoming the first British to do so. He also claimed a stage victory in the 2023 edition. With his mountain time trial strategy and strength, Adam Yates makes for a high-value long-shot pick for your bets;
• Simon Yates: Brother of Adam Yates, Simon Yates bagged victory in the young rider classification in the 2017 edition of the Tour and finished fourth overall in the 2023 edition. He arrives in this year’s Tour in peak condition, fresh from his Giro 2025 victory. He is deadly on steep climbs and thrives under pressure;
• David Gaudu: French climber David Gaudu is known for his smart mountain moves and shines particularly well in steep terrain at high altitudes. His Tour de France feats include bagging the Combativity award at Stage 18 in the 2021 edition and finishing fourth overall in the 2022 edition — signs that he can maintain his form over three weeks;
• Lenny Martinez: This French racing cyclist has the sport in his blood! Lenny is the son of Miguel Martinez, the grandson of Mariano Martinez, and the nephew of Yannick Martinez. His rise is due to the aggression he brings to his racing style. His TT prowess and climbing skills in steep mountainous terrain are the catalysts. Lenny hasn’t clinched a Tour de France victory yet, but 2025 could be his year;
• Mattias Skjelmose: This all-rounder Danish Lidl-Trek rider brings top climbing and TT skills. Skjelmose’s performance in the 2023 Tour was even praised by the legendary Lance Armstrong. His photo‑finish Amstel Gold Race victory outpacing cycling superstars Pogacar and Evenepoel this year shows he’s made for solid sprint timing. Expect nothing but the best from him in the 2025 Tour;
• Ben O’Connor: Aussie rider Ben O’Connor is among the elite climbers participating in this year’s Tour. He’s already made a mark by winning Stage 9 of the 2021 edition, soloing the last 17 kilometres of the mountain stage and finishing fourth overall. See him as a smart bet when the terrain gets steep.

So, who is winning the Tour de France 2025 Well, it’s hard to tell because all of the above cyclists have been top performers so far. But we can say for sure that they are your best bets. Especially the four riders — Pogačar, Vingegaard, Evenepoel, and Almeida — seem to be in their career best form.

🚲 Tour de France Betting Tips for the 2025 Event

Whether this is your first time betting in the Tour de France, or you’re already a veteran, these tips should come in handy when you want to make your stake worthwhile:

• Study rider performances, especially in recent cycling events. If a player’s June form has been strong, they’ll likely carry the momentum into July;
• Understand rider intentions. Domestiques cycle for support, not to finish first. Nonetheless, a strong one can quickly go from supporting to attacking, turning the tables;
• Bank on all-rounders — they’re more likely to be consistent through the event;
• Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. The race is unpredictable, so spread your bets across multiple cyclists and outcomes;
• Match participants to the terrains that suit their strengths. For instance, sprinters thrive in flat stages, whereas rouleurs excel during time trials. Similarly, mountain stages see climbers excelling in long, steep climbs and punchers dominating during short, steep climbs;
• Keep an eye on the weather conditions. If there’s wind in the plains and rain in the mountains, this can alter race dynamics dramatically;
• Bet on value, not just favourites. Staking money on top names like Pogačar, Vingegaard, and Evenepoel seems worthwhile. But, don’t disregard the long-shot value in riders like Skjelmose.

Gear up for July. Remember, Lille Métropole is where it begins, and Paris Champs-Élysées is where it ends.

🤩 SICK WATCHER’S 2025 RACE DUMP

Alright r/cycling you bike fans! This bike fan, I just barely pulled myself out from under a pile of used tissues. A nasty sickness hit me this past week. But hey, the Tour de France 2025 was on every single minute. Watching that huge bike race while my head felt like a bruised grapefruit that’s quite an experience. Brain still feel like a flat tire but what I saw Surprisingly clear. Ready for these fever-induced thoughts?

╰┈➤ Pogačar Wins. Was There Even a Contest?

Pogačar won it. Again. People hardly put money on other cyclists no more it seem. That last day in Paris from Mantes-la-Ville to the Champs-Élysées turn into a soaking mess. Rain pour hard, making Montmartre’s stone paths slick and dangerous. Pogačar attacked three times up Sacré Coeur! A strange choice, he already sealed his victory. Organizers closed off those risky stone sections so the standings wasn’t going to change. Still Van Aert a strong rider, take the stage win, which was a small bit of excitement. My internet keep freezing during the sprint causing me to yell at the TV from my couch. My cat, Luna, she watched with deep suspicion probably wondering why a human make so much fuss about tiny bikes. Speaking of bikes what tire pressure they even use on those wet stones Has to be wild. Also I noticed one rider had a tiny, worn tattoo of a squirrel on a calf. Just a random picture in my head.

╰┈➤ Vingegaard Looked So Tired & Some Great New Faces

Vingegaard seemed completely worn out finish second, almost five minutes back. A very big space. He said this race was hard for him. I believe it. Visma Lease a Bike had some clear problems. A rider’s spouse even spoke out about the team’s focus before the Tour start. When a rider’s home life get into team news that shows you something about the stress. Maybe they need some fun team games not just more mountain training. A thought on money: a top-level racing bike can cost around ₹10 Lakhs so no wonder team bosses feel pressure!

But new riders really stood out! Florian Lipowitz from Germany, third place in his first Tour! What a run. Oscar Onley from Scotland, fourth in his second Tour, show amazing will. Remember that one moment Onley look finished on a climb, then suddenly found some hidden push. A real fighter. And Ben Healy from Ireland, a stage win and a place in the top ten! These younger riders make things interesting again. They go after the top riders, making surprising things happen. Seeing them push and get the win that’s what I like to see. I still feel a bit weak, need more soup. Reminds me of that time I try to bike up Nandi Hills for the first time. Thought I was a hero, then my legs just quit about halfway up. Had to literally push my bike for a kilometer, felt worse than this flu. But you get back on, right These guys just do it for weeks. Found a strange button under the sofa cushion; no idea what it’s for feels like an old remote piece, maybe?